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III

Max Est. MMI

11 km N of Covelo, CA

Magnitude4.2
Depth10.7 km
Time 2026-07-11T01:14:37.140000Z UTC: 2026-07-11T01:14:37.140000Z
USGS ID nc75393566
ShakeMap View USGS ↗

Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI

3 sites
Location MMI Description
Covelo
CA
Weak(III)
Laytonville
CA
Weak(II)
Brooktrails
CA
Weak(II)

Seismic Station Observed MMI

MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.

3 stations
Station MMI Description
Round Valley Indian Tribe, Mendocino County, CA (BK.RVIT) Weak(III)
Long Ridge (NC.KLR) Weak(II)
Iron Peak (NC.KIP) Weak(II)

Engineering Ground Motion Parameters

GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).

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Est. Vs30 Values

Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.

Location Ref. (760 m/s) Est. Vs30 (m/s)
Covelo
CA
760 294
Laytonville
CA
760 352
Brooktrails
CA
760 468

MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)

All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — default Vs30

MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30

GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — Est. Vs30

GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI

Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.

GMPE residual plot

GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations

Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.

GMPE predicted vs observed scatter

GMPE Performance — Station Observations

Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.

GMPE Bias Sigma RMSE
ASK14 +0.20 0.43 0.48
BSSA14 +0.20 0.43 0.47
CY14 +0.19 0.41 0.46
CB14 +0.19 0.41 0.45
Bias > 0: GMPE underestimated shaking at stations. Bias < 0: GMPE overestimated shaking.

Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations

Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.

Station PGA (g) MMI (PGA) PGV (cm/s) MMI (PGV)
Round Valley Indian Tribe, Mendocino County, CA (BK.RVIT) 0.0155 Weak(III) 0.971 Light(IV)
Sherwood Rancheria area, Willits (BK.SHWD) 0.0044 Not felt(I) 0.226 Weak(II)
Iron Peak (NC.KIP) 0.0043 Not felt(I) 0.199 Weak(II)
Etsel Ridge (BK.ETSL) 0.0026 Not felt(I) 0.209 Weak(II)
Usal Creek (BK.USAL) 0.0022 Not felt(I) 0.134 Weak(II)
Hull Mountain (BK.HULL) 0.0021 Not felt(I) 0.142 Weak(II)
Hales Grove, Mendocino, CA (BK.HALS) 0.0019 Not felt(I) 0.091 Weak(II)
Woodlands Fire Station, Mendocino, CA (BK.MNDO) 0.0018 Not felt(I) 0.132 Weak(II)
Navarro Ridge (NC.GNR) 0.0017 Not felt(I) 0.117 Weak(II)
Long Ridge (NC.KLR) 0.0015 Not felt(I) 0.081 Weak(II)
Orr Springs (BK.ORRS) 0.0015 Not felt(I) 0.134 Weak(II)
Sproul Creek (BK.SPRL) 0.0014 Not felt(I) 0.091 Weak(II)
Garberville CALFire station (NP.1591) 0.0013 Not felt(I) 0.092 Weak(II)
Jewett Creek (BK.JEWT) 0.0012 Not felt(I) 0.081 Weak(II)
Red Bank (NC.LRB) 0.0011 Not felt(I) 0.057 Not felt(I)
Hoaglin-Zenia Elementary School (NC.KZE) 0.0010 Not felt(I) 0.091 Weak(II)
Black Lassic (BK.BLAS) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.052 Not felt(I)
Barra Winery, Redwood Valley, CA (BK.BARR) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.062 Weak(II)
Bevans Ridge (BK.BEVN) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.058 Weak(II)
Van Arsdale (NC.GVA) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.053 Not felt(I)
Paradise Ridge (BK.PRDS) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.064 Weak(II)
Bell Springs #3 (NC.KBSB) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.055 Not felt(I)
Big Hunter Mountain, Trinity County (BK.HUNT) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.040 Not felt(I)
Pettyjohn Place, Tehama County, CA (BK.PETY) 0.0007 Not felt(I) 0.031 Not felt(I)
Briceland Vineyard, Redway, CA (BK.BRIC) 0.0007 Not felt(I) 0.051 Not felt(I)
Source: USGS ShakeMap station recordings (view ShakeMap). PGA in g (fraction of gravitational acceleration); PGV in cm/s. The observed MMI shown on the map uses ShakeMap's reported instrumental intensity where available, or max(MMI from PGA, MMI from PGV) otherwise.